N important part of a enthusiast’s preparation for baseball’s regular season is creating and managing expectations. Not only from the normal euphemistic sense of”preparing yourself for collapse” (though certainly baseball involves a lot of failure) but also in the sense of figuring out what every group is capable of accomplishing. An 85-win season and third-place finish would be a disaster for the Red Sox, for instance, but it would be the best year the Cincinnati Reds have managed in the better part of a couple of years.
Expectations come from external means, such as projections systems being bullish on the Yankees or down on the A’s this year, or through a quick glance at a team’s roster construction, which could reveal that the Padres or even Braves could overachieve thanks to their glut of youthful talent. Additionally, it is possible to imagine at a group’s confidence through the motions it made in the offseason–the Phillies, after falling short, filled two shopping carts at the supermarket this winter–or through the rhetoric of its GM, manager, or gamers. The clues are everywhere. So let’s position all 30 teams based on how good they need to be this year.
Houston Astros
Houston won 103 games last year and its roster may be better in 2019. The Astros lost Charlie Morton and (likely ) Dallas Keuchel to free agency this offseason, plus Lance McCullers Jr. into Tommy John, but marginally incredibly have the pitching depth to make up for it. Utilityman Marwin Gonz??lez pulled up stakes and headed to Minnesota, but Aledmys D??az figures to be a capable replacement.
Houston also covered up its few flaws: Catcher Robinson Chirinos (.222/ / .338/.419 past year) will probably be an improvement on Brian McCann (.212/.301/.339 in 2018), and when nothing else watching him squat 150 times each game won’t make you wince and hold your knees. The Astros also went out and got Michael Brantley to play left field, where they had been quietly pretty bad last season; part of the reason for that was Kyle Tucker, their top offensive prospect, that attracted comparisons to Ted Williams in spring training last year but struck .141/.236/.203 at 72 enormous league plate appearances. Whether he is coming from the bench, DHing, or displacing Josh Reddick in right field during the season, Tucker should provide more (any) value in 2019, as will Carlos Correa, who played a back injury in the second half and hit only .180/.261/.256 following the break. Correa posted back-to-back six-win seasons in 2016 and 2017, and with six extra-base hits in 42 preseason plate looks, he looks a lot more comfortable than he did six months ago.
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