NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Phoenix is just 11-40 complete this year, with four wins in 25 tries away from home. In general, the Suns have kept lots of their games alongside an 11-14 record against the spread as the visiting team. They are only 2-7 ATS this year and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 in their home floor so far this season. Overall, they are 20-27 against the spread, such as a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they are only 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They’ve covered and won seven of the last ten meetings between the groups, though.
Phoenix Suns
One thing we know for certain is that Phoenix has experienced a very difficult time slowing down its opponents this year. The Suns are have allowed at least 120 points in backend losses, while offering up 111 points or more in each of the past seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to take Phoenix despite their bad defense. However, despite Booker averaging 25.2 points per match and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the past seven days, the Suns have not been able to snap out of the funk.
One of the main concerns today is that they are playing with no Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That is two of the top three point-getters while Melton had become the team’s leading point guard. It’s a great deal to overcome to get a group which was terrible to begin with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they could be without much more ability besides James. They’re hoping Kyle Kuzma is prepared to go after he missed Saturday’s clinic and is thought of as a game-time choice for Sunday. Remember, the team is without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are just three of the best four players on the team in terms of minutes played.
That usually means the Lakers will require men Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to carry the load — even if Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points per game over the past week but he has mostly been a disappointment this season. He has a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has given the team a shot in the arm as he’s averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his past four contests.
There is no question that the Lakers are struggling and they’ll be shorthanded. However, losses at home to the Phoenix Suns — who’s equally shorthanded — are inexcusable. Look for the Lakers to win however, the Suns to cover.
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