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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and that I will deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL debate to dip our toes into uncharted waters and render our school football picks.
It will almost certainly be the very first and only time this season we do this, as the previous week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster in comparison to a regular-season game of NCAA soccer featuring one of the greatest teams in the country, plus a legendary soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while I supported the Titans. We have been swapping wins back and forth so it appears like its my turn to the wreath, as I endorse the Irish and will follow all the squares putting the thick lumber on a public road favorite.
After reviewing the school football odds nearly six days before this Monday night event, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its presently offered in a solid -20 round the board at all the very best online sportsbooks.
I enjoy the Irish but youre currently leaning in this season-opening clash to the Cardinals. Other than the place, why is it that you believe Louisville can hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yup Swinger, at least and a convincing win IMO, said a great deal about the Steelers and Titans direction. Lets proceed to real soccer, will our records on this one and in which the matches count.
Remember Louisville used to play against opponents? They more than held their own and engineered several upsets. These were fun games to see and also the Cardinals were an golf club.
But for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its fake (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield will be out win games and to alter the culture and worked miracles in Appalachian State. This will not happen immediately as the talent level is down in theVille. However , this is a big time for Louisville, a team which has the chance to start taking steps.
Ive read where the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and that I like Hassan Hall because the lead running back. The defense which makes me more nervous than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins. Why you have your Irish up, please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing as the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest, flying in this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a group this past year, where they went winless in ACC action coming from a dismal 2-10 record. This rebuild is akin to trying to turn it in an F-22 Raptor and carrying a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually happen, the issue is that Louisville is confronting a team which made it to the CFP last year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 till they met Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders as well, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how is a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, designed to obtain some traction against a shield? Especially when hes working with an offensive scheme that is entirely new and a trainer?
Please, Doug, save me I am lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville will have the ability to keep up and I am desperate for your sage wisdom and handicapping experience that is prodigious!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to read in your last sentence you are coming around to the sunny side of sport betting, or youre just being the same wise a** you usually are. Ill let the SBR readers that are currently making that is decided on by college football selections. Im the first to realize Louisville was, however, 1-11 ATS and sucked final season.
But that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons. A fresh mindset is brought by A new trainer on making a statement and with this being a game, his staff will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does have to trust they will not be taken by the Irish for granted and not have a lot of fight.
Lets also think about, Brian Kelly with gold and all the blue is ATS as a road favorite, also a mere 7-9-1 ATS, if dishing out more or 20 specimens. That defense you said might improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even if you dont/can not recruit like Bama or even Clemson, it will take time.
I was being a bit facetious because although youve got an impressive handicapping resume, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this instance, because Louisville could be better than last year but I would submit that they could be coached by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable record rendered by an inept coach like Petrino, you happen to be shooting blanks.
I understand that placing nearly three touchdowns on the street is square biz for sure along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy street chalk, but sometimes the public is right, and also in this case they certainly are. Until next week when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, let us see what happens on Monday once the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)