With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it’s time to start having a look at the betting odds for your card. Two streaks on the card have lines introduced, and they’re about as different as can be. In the main event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male member dominated that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the greatest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the odds are much closer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the little underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight extra bouts on the card that up until now didn’t have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that now as he released the full UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ———— MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Analysis: I actually desire Bethe Correia to win this particular battle, so I do not have to listen to anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia has never confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler can wade through Correia’s drag and striking this battle to the floor where she will have a distinct edge. The greatest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and harm woes of late, and it can be more than enough to keep me from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been tagged on the feet a few times before, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe won’t have the ability to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be very competitive in all areas, but Ferguson has minor edges that ought to propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decline in his performances of late makes him look like a 37-year-old. He seemed totally listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s livelihood in his most recent bout. It feels like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a potential while at Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is an extremely difficult bout to predict regarding a negative or a complete, so I will likely stay out completely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling advantage , but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the far better entry grappler, and probably even the greater striker at this point (although Nijem’s advancement in that regard last time out was fine to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another end on his resume from his entry skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for fascinating bouts even when he had been confronting completely overmatched competition, so now that he’s up against a valid evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I have to admit this is one of my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical advantages here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, obviously. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to prevent Jorgensen, but I think he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo handed one of the important tests for prospects in his final outing too, becoming cracked square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not just the fight, but that round too. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was that the impetus he needed to begin taking the sport seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it is quite obvious he has been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen he might not be able to eliminate a half effort, and if he does it’ll make him even more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with decidedly less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His only loss came to UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to restrain and outhustle competitions to pick up decisions. That will be difficult against Ruslan Magomedov, who really possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go together with his solid striking. Coming off of almost a year layoff, it is difficult to expect much from Odoms, so that I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he’s someone I fully expect to fade when he could get a couple more wins and confront adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should nearly be snuffed out in this point. His striking defense appeared atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, and his entry game was practically non-existent as he had been tapped within minutes of hitting the floor against Miller. Perhaps that may work to the advantage of his backers against Justin Edwards nevertheless, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even at this time. Edwards has a good guillotine, and not many other abilities, so Medeiros has this fight to win as long as he doesn’t dive in that weapon. Edwards will likely come out fast, because he should know that a win will indicate the conclusion of his UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door as well, since both place on putrid dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is a competitive — but not overly talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed massive holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out with one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either guy could complete this fight quickly and I would not be amazed, or they could play it safe and we can be treated to some truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the cost for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I may just take a shot there in hopes the bout really is of the hilariously bad selection, but I can’t see myself putting considerably greater than Monopoly money down on this competition.
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