The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the score would have to be to get a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played with the team in question in the matches that it has played up to now. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the score of the competition and the location of this game. This
is exactly the identical concept that is used in calculating the WIN50% summit evaluations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an extra 4 points to the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team having a rating of 92 would be
favored by 6 points over a VISITING team with a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 will be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 78.
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the score would need to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning just 50 percent of the games against the program played by the team in question at the matches that it has played up to now. The schedule difficulty of every given game takes
into account the score of the competition and the location of this game. This
is exactly the concept which is used in calculating the WIN50% summit evaluations.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team having a rating of 27 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team with a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 14.
NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output .
In the example just above, a home edge of 4 has been shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
A number of different home edges are revealed, one for each of the many different kind of evaluations directly over their various columns.
The numbers to the right of a team’s schedule strength are its rank of
schedule – (in parentheses) – and its record versus teams in these
rating’s CURRENT top 25 and CURRENT top 50 respectively.
Teams that look tied to 2 decimal places in a given column are in reality different when transported to more decimal places in the monitor’s internal arithmetic.
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