This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight card in Kansas on ESPN+. DraftKings has some strong contests considering this is a free card and that I look forward to chasing the GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I won my first chair into it a few weeks back and I will attempt to receive my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, and then I will probably take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Yana Kunitskaya — $8,900
There actually are no cash game guards this week for me but I moved with Yana because I fully expect this battle to go all 3 rounds so I like the ground she brings to the table. I also believe she wins the battle and I think she is going to be the fighter going for takedowns. I don’t know how high her ceiling is but in money games it doesn’t really matter a lot because we do not need to hit 1st place in a double-up. I’d expect about 10x from Yana at a choice win and I will take that all day in my money games.
GPP play of this week — Louis Smolka — $8,300
Smolka struggles tend to score highly because there are a great deal of scrambles and all the grappling improvements really add up. I expect this is a really fun fight, but it should be Smolka that is the one going for the takedowns. I am always looking for a minimum of 10x in my fighters and also at $8.3k I would be shocked if Smolka didn’t get that with a triumph. The lowest he has ever scored in a win is 99 DK points and he has scored 162 vs Nguyen and he has a 61-point loss to Elliott that is more DK points than Schnell’s triumph over Beltran. I love Smolka as a GPP drama here and if he wins I would anticipate near 100 DK points.
Drama of the week — Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos — $8,000
For a struggle that I hope to stay standing, I have quite a lot of interest in this fight. I think it’s going to be an action-packed fight and I think someone gets pumped out. This is likewise the mid-range fight of the week, so I think that a KO from guy would have a fantastic chance to put them on the perfect lineup. I like it more because I’m choosing the underdog to get the knockout and that I expect Millender to function as higher owned fighter. I’ll have this fight in more than half my lineups, but that I will most likely have at least twice the ownership on dos Santos over Millender. I believe it is a much better GPP struggle than it is for money games, but I think dos Santos is in play for cash since he is an underdog and that I have him winning. I don’t feel confident in several underdogs this week, however I’ll have a good amount of vulnerability to dos Santos.
Fade of this week — Anthony Rocco Martin ($9,200)
At $9.2K. Martin will require a finish at that salary and that I don’t see that happening. If he wins a clear 30-27 decision, then he probably scores mid 70’s and at his price tag which will not win anybody a GPP. I really don’t think he moves for takedowns in this matchup and I believe he uses his wrestling to keep the fight standing. Even if he does move for takedowns then I do not see him submitting Moraes. So, it needs to be a KO out of him to pay off that wages and I am not willing to take that risk with my cash. That is why he is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link too. I am 61-37 to get +209.69 (+$20,969) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
Read more here: http://www.olcayreklam.com/?p=27281