The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a solid start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, be sure to check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into account.
It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Plus it’s off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events in iconic places like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His model has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can inform you that the version is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 25-1 NASCAR chances. He is a goal for anybody searching for a massive payday.
Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win last year and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to some 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in one of the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix chooses from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favourite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.
Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the pack consistently at this particular track. In fact, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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