This weekend, we have a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate contests out there with this Fight Night card, and this is rare for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs too. However, this week DraftKings includes two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Hotel flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor chairs contest is a $33 entry along with the non-floor seats competition is simply a $15 entrance. I am going to have to take a few shots in that as well. Additionally, DraftKings just released a competition for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry having a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That is unquestionably the greatest prize we have ever seen in DFS MMA, so let us build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to shoot some additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your strongest triumph on the card and that I believe she gets this battle finished early. That is where I’m starting my money LUs this week. Only give me the -1100 favored who is being fed an easy win here, for my cash games. I really do like a great deal of the top favorites with this particular card, I simply would be the most shocked when Souza lost. I believe she is good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so money games would be the ideal place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Simply take this triumph, then find 3 others and you should be useful in money games.
GPP drama of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a large Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira fan, and he’s a few of my own favorites submissions in UFC history. I believe we can see another awesome one here. This battle appears to be simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he can get it then he likely gets a 1st round sub. If this happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty confident in being the results of this fight, so that’s why he is my GPP drama of the week. He’s also my GPP drama of this week, and not my Money play of this week for a reason. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll likely stop and get completed himself together with strikes. I don’t like that risk of a low floor because of my cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the 200 and moving down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders more if he wasn’t carrying this fight on short notice, and when it wasn’t in Brazil. However he can have a clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking out Santos who doesn’t possess a fantastic chin. Anders could also opt for takedowns in this fight and he could win with a few hard GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he is able to acquire the KO. This is the major event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to work with. I do think that is a solid matchup for Anders, but he must be competitive and never hang out on the exterior. If he hangs out on the exterior too long Santos will consume him up with kisses and it could be a short night for Anders. I am going to select him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. This will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you can get your additional five spots correct as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is obviously a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of the week here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if that happens here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a 9.2k salary from a man who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points from Alvey when I roster him and the only real way get caught that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to spend my money in it.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on every struggle, my private strategies & suggestions, and also my selection outlook for every single fight then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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